— @amuse (@amuse) December 16, 2025
The Federal Reserve recently disclosed a figure that should stop any serious observer of American public life in his tracks.
As of Q2 2025, US NGOs hold $14.12T in assets. That balance sheet is larger than the combined 2025 GDP of Japan, Germany, and India by roughly 5%. This is not a slogan or a talking point. It is a fact drawn from the Federal Reserve’s own Financial Accounts. One can dispute how the assets are distributed, or how actively they are deployed, but the magnitude itself is no longer debatable. A sector of formally private, tax exempt institutions now commands wealth on a scale normally associated with great powers.
At first glance, this may seem unremarkable or even reassuring. NGOs are, after all, associated in the public imagination with soup kitchens, disaster relief, medical missions, and conservation. Many Americans have given to such causes in good faith. The legal framework that grants nonprofits tax exemption emerged from precisely this moral intuition. The state steps back, refrains from taxing donations and endowments, and civil society steps forward to meet human needs that markets or governments address poorly. For much of the 20th century, this bargain worked tolerably well.
But the moral intuition that justified the nonprofit model does not automatically justify its present form. Institutions change as incentives change. Scale matters. A legal structure designed for modest charities does not remain benign when it governs entities that collectively rival the productive output of multiple advanced economies. At that point, we are no longer talking about charity in the ordinary sense. We are talking about power.
Consider a simple comparison. A corporation with $14T in assets would be among the most heavily regulated entities in the world. Its disclosures would be scrutinized, its activities taxed, its political engagement constrained, and its leadership subject to continuous oversight. A sovereign state commanding similar resources would be constrained by elections, treaties, and public law. Yet NGOs, despite controlling comparable wealth, operate in a space that is neither market nor state. They are private, but subsidized. Powerful, but unelected. Political, but formally nonpartisan.
This ambiguity once seemed like a virtue. Today it looks like a loophole.
The central problem is not that NGOs exist. It is that the tax code treats them as if they were still what they once were. The exemption from income taxes, capital gains taxes, and in many cases property taxes, was justified on the assumption that these organizations were thinly capitalized and primarily mission driven. Yet modern NGOs often behave like sophisticated financial actors. They hold diversified investment portfolios, deploy complex tax strategies, and compete directly with for profit firms, all while enjoying exemptions those firms do not.
Scott Hodge, long associated with the Tax Foundation, has warned for years that the nonprofit sector has quietly grown into a parallel economy. By his accounting, even several years ago it represented roughly 15% of GDP and controlled trillions in assets. The trend has only accelerated. Hospitals, universities, credit unions, and advocacy groups now generate business like income at scale, but face none of the fiscal obligations imposed on their for profit counterparts. The result is not charity. It is distortion.
Imagine two hospitals across the street from one another. One is organized as a nonprofit, the other as a for profit firm. Both charge market rates, both employ professional management, both invest in real estate and technology. Yet one pays corporate taxes and the other does not. The tax burden borne by the for profit hospital does not disappear. It is shifted, either onto patients or onto taxpayers. In effect, the nonprofit’s tax exemption becomes a subsidy financed by everyone else.
Defenders of the system respond that nonprofits reinvest their surpluses in their mission. Sometimes they do. Often they do not. Endowments grow faster than services expand. Executive compensation reaches levels indistinguishable from the corporate sector. Universities with endowments exceeding $50B raise tuition relentlessly while accumulating wealth that compounds tax free. Foundations satisfy minimal payout requirements while preserving capital in perpetuity. The legal form signals altruism, but the economic behavior signals something closer to asset management.
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