Biden is in double-trouble: His lead falling, the race’s remaining variables are also daunting. CNN’s latest poll demonstrates the first, while a quick look at the shrinking calendar reveals the second. Increasingly, November appears to hinge on Biden’s public performance, which was the last thing Democrats wanted.
CNN’s August 17 poll (taken 8/12-15, of 1,108 registered voters, MOE +/- 4 percent) showed Biden’s lead over Trump plummeting to just 50 percent to 46 percent, well within the poll’s margin of error. This is down 10 percentage points from CNN’s June poll, which had Biden leading 55 percent to 41 percent. Especially notable were Trump’s gain among Independent voters, where Biden’s lead almost disappeared, plunging from 52 percent to 41 percent in June, to 46 percent to 45 percent.
Even worse, in the 15 battleground states, which will determine November’s outcome, Biden’s lead was a scant 49 percent to 48. To top it off, the true gap is probably closer still, because the poll sampled registered voters, not likely voters, who are both more certain to vote and trend more Republican.
If this happened to Biden when, by design, nothing was happening to him, what happens when things do happen to him? If the present is concerning, the future looks even more foreboding. Of the race’s remaining variables, most appear neutral with the rest likely negative for Biden.
Party conventions usually offer each candidate a boost, but they usually offset each other, and there certainly was nothing in last week’s Democratic convention to produce a sizable boost for Biden. Congress’s short remaining schedule is also unlikely to change voters’ minds about the candidates. Again, the current congressional coronavirus standoff was occurring during CNN’s polling, which showed Biden’s plunging lead.
Looking to the campaign’s two-month homestretch, the likely variables look unfavorable for Biden.
The election’s two biggest variables, the economy and coronavirus, have been established and neither has been good for Trump. However, Trump appears to have withstood the worst both have to offer; now both are improving, even if less rapidly than desired. So, any change in either will likely be positive, and therefore positive for Trump.
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https://spectator.org/bidens-double-trouble-a-shrinking-lead-and-being-forced-to-go-public/
Replies
Trying to cause massive confusion on elction day IS the plan of the TREASONOUS DEMOCRAT PARTY... Thanks to the Democrats For tearing our country apart. I hate their Tyrannical Progressve Gutst for it too,through "NO FAULT OF MY OWN'" Democrats have MADE THEMESELVES the sworn enemy of myb freedom!!!.. These Communist Revolutionist Ass Holes will kick their Civil War up full tilt on Election day,win lose or draw!!!.............THAT'S THEIR PLAN! IT'S OBVIOUS!!!
The election is a cakewalk for Trump. He will win with a huge landslide.
They will destroy America to get back in power.
Back to the basement joe. No one believes your lies.
!!WANT HAPPEN "FOTCH"!!!!!