Forum

Will Drought Do What No Military Strike Could in Iran?

With all the focus on wars, sanctions, spies, and religious oppression related to Iran, it turns out that the Achilles Heel of the regime might actually be its inability to provide water and power to its capital, Tehran. There is, apparently, so little water available in its reservoirs that the city may soon have to be evacuated. Redstate: Mother Nature may accomplish something that neither the U.S. nor Israel could ever have contemplated: the evacuation of Tehran’s 9.7 million inhabitants. Iran is currently experiencing its fifth consecutive year of drought, and the autumnal rainfall is about a quarter of that in 2024, that would be two millimeters. In short, Tehran is facing a “Day Zero” catastrophe. “Zero day” is probably shortly after January 1. Masoud Pezeshkian, Iran’s president, warned on Thursday that if the drought persisted more than a month longer, “we’ll have to evacuate Tehran.” Mr. Pezeshkian has not explained how such an evacuation would be managed. Mr. Pezeshkian has warned about Tehran’s water crisis for months, and has even promoted moving the capital south, closer to the Persian Gulf, where there is “access to open waters.” The Amir Kabir Dam, once a vital lifeline holding over 160,000 acre-feet, now languishes at a mere 8 percent capacity, or about a two-week supply for Tehran. In terms of reservoir capacity, isn’t huge. It is about the size of the Canyon Dam on Texas’s Guadalupe River or the Smith Mountain Dam on Virginia’s Roanoke River. But when you plop it down in the middle of the desert and make your nation’s capital and a lot of your agriculture dependent on it for water, it takes on a significance all its own. The other reservoirs in the five-dam system that supplies Tehran with water — Latyan, Lar, Mamloo, and Taleqan — are in equally poor condition. At Latyan, only half of the current 10 percent fill can be used. Lar is at one percent, Mamloo at seven percent, and Taleqan, which is about twice the size of Amir Kabir, is at 30 percent capacity. (Redstate) Hmm. This almost sounds like divine retribution…