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The Key To Peace In The Ukraine...

Posted by Ronald A. Nelson COL, USA, Retired on February 28, 2025 at 1:23pm

Peace is possible only if those seeking it want it... the Eukrain has a long social and COMMERCIAL relationship with Russia... and the restoration of trade, commerce, and cultural interests of both... are key to the formula for PEACE.

A list of commercial and social grievances, on both sides, is at the root of this war (it's a civil war) The grievances of both nations can be resolved through negotiation.  Both parties need to be willing to open discussions that lead to solutions that both belligerents can agree on.  For Russia an unrestricted commercial path to the Black and Caspian Seas, through the Donbas.  

 
In addition, there needs to be a satisfactory settlement with the Russian Federation for the breeches in trade agreements, and the Russian investments and property left behind when the Eukrain unilaterally terminated their membership in the Russian Federation.  
 
Any solution must involve the negotiated restoration of the former shared commercial interests and access to the resources and ports in the Donbas region.  This war is about lost Russian geo-political and commercial interest in the region, trade, and cultural attachments between both nations, all of which can be resolved through negotiation. Both parties need to be willing to open discussions that lead to mutual solutions agreeable to both belligerents.
 
For Russia, an unrestricted commercial path to the Black and Caspian Seas, through the Donbas is key to their agreeing to peace.  In addition, there needs to be a satisfactory settlement with the Russian Federation for the breeches in trade agreements and the Russian investments and assets left behind when the Eukrain unilaterally terminated their membership in the Russian Federation.

Any solution must involve the restoration of the former shared commercial interests and access to the resources in the Donbas region.  Ukraine's borders must be restored and its national soverignty guaranteed by Russia.

This war is complicated by the commercial and cultural interests of the world's oligarchs in the region's raw materials... it's about gaining access to the raw materials and the geo-political position once held as part of The Russian Federation and the former USSR. 

Third-party oligarchs and commercial Interests want to regulate access to the Donbas region... and its rare earth and other raw materials found there.  These third-party interests are working to force Ukraine and Russia to accept peace on their term. Terms THEY can use to control the resources in the region... it is complicated.

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