Patriots.
The cause of the U.S. midterms Republican wipeout is not the Iran War.
It is also not some Super Special New Democrat Organizing Method.
In this post, for the first time anywhere, I disprove both conclusively.
The cause is election fraud.
There are solutions, but only if we have the balls to save our country.
We have hysteria in great abundance. But perspective is in short supply.
First, the data.
I asked:
How large, on average, is the U.S. House vote count in a midterm election compared to the previous year's election (i.e., presidential election) U.S. House vote count?
For every midterm election since 1946, Democrats lose an average of 17.8% of their U.S. House vote during the midterms if there is a Republican president, and 30.8% if there is a Democrat president.
Republicans lose 17.9% if there is a Democrat president, and 27.9% if there is a Republican president.
In other words, each party loses more of its U.S. House vote count in the midterms compared to the presidential election year if it is currently in power, but less if it is out of power; each party becomes "complacent" in the midterms when in power and motivated in the midterms when out of power.
Next, I calculated each year's expected U.S. House vote count, versus the actual U.S. House vote count for every midterm election since 1946.
What we find during the 2018 and the 2026 midterms, both Trump term midterms, is record-breaking midterm vote counts for the Democrat party.
The top two Democrat U.S. vote counts in all 21 midterm elections are from Trump presidency midterms.
This is extraordinary.
These two midterm elections saw just a ~2% loss in vote count for Democrats in the U.S. House in 2018 compared to 2016, and a ~0% loss in vote count for the Democrats for the U.S. House in 2026 compared to 2024.
The next highest U.S. House Democrat vote count is in 1982. It had a loss in vote count of ~10%.
Both 2018 and 2026, in other words, were explosively historically unprecedented for Democrats.
They were comparable to their 2020 presidential election vote count for Biden.
This demonstrates, dispositively, that there was no uniquely effective organizing method that the Democrats used in 2026 compared to 2018.
There was no new method that worked uniquely well in garnering Democrat votes this year.
It has been something that Democrats have been using.
But -- and this is widely overlooked -- the 2018 midterm Republican U.S. House vote count was historically unprecedented, too.
Look at the figure carefully.
For a Republican presidency, the 2018 U.S. House Republican vote count was the highest since at least 1946, with a loss of ~20%, at nearly the 17.9% loss average of having a Democrat in office.
In no other year since at least 1946, and possibly further back, has the Republican vote count been so high during the midterms while having a Republican president in office.
Not a single year.
Republicans voted as if there was a Democrat in office, and that was the only thing that prevented absolutely catastrophic midterm losses in 2018.
So if you're saying, "if only we had performed as well in 2018 this year, we would have possibly kept the Senate," you're not looking at things in perspective.
2018 was *insane*.
But 2026 was different. Republicans voted this year with about a 25% lower vote count in the U.S. House than in 2024.
This is better than the 27.9% average.
But it was not at the 20% that might have allowed us to keep the Senate.
But even if we had performed at 2018 levels, we still would have suffered a major loss -- and just barely hung on.
And in order to do that, we would need to continue to breaking records -- doing the impossible.
The problem is structural.
The Democrats are simply putting up ungodly, impossible numbers.
To put it bluntly:
2018 was an insane year for the Democrat vote.
2018 was an insane year for the Republican vote.
2026 was an even more insane year for the Democrat vote.
2026 was a good year for the Republican vote.
We needed another insane year.
We did not get it.
Is that the death of MAGA?
Does it prove that we have failed?
That we should abandon everything we have worked for?
Zoom out a little more.
The Democrats put up unprecedented numbers in 2018 and 2026.
We matched them in 2018.
But not this year.
We needed to play a perfect game to win both times.
That is not a failure. That is not us doing something terribly wrong.
That is being asked to play every single round perfectly in an impossible game.
We are on the side of goodness, truth, and beauty.
The Democrats are on the side of degradation, ugliness, despair, violence, lawlessness, and death.
Yet we are required to play a perfect game, every single time, to avoid losing everything.
Meanwhile, the Democrats only have to win a couple times to destroy everything.
It is easier to build than destroy, and the Democrats are destroyers.
And that is what we are facing going into 2028.
If they win one more time, they will destroy everything.
There will be no returning.
They will eliminate the filibuster, they will pack the courts, they will add states, they will flood the country with illegals, they will lawfare and debank their opponents into oblivion.
And then it will be over.
The problem is structural, and structural problems need structural solutions.
We have already seen that the Democrats did not pursue a strategy that they did not already pursue in 2018 or 2020.
Some say that the Iran War is the cause.
But Trump's approval rating has steadily declined, which is typical of sitting presidents.
There is no sudden sharp drop from the Iran War.
Maybe the War should be stopped. I am in favor of it if it can help us. But it is not the cause.
What we know is that Democrats are importing voters and are committing relentlessly documented voter fraud.
We know that this is how California was lost.
Texas looks like it is next.
One of the most unprecedented Democrat vote counts, and Texas swung more blue than any other state in 2026.
Every single statewide Democrat candidate received more votes than Kamala Harris just two years earlier, even though Republicans voted about normal.
Nothing like that has ever happened before in modern Texas election history.
Even that is not explainable by the national numbers.
Nobody in Texas I talk to believes it.
Some say the Democrats are swapping votes, or even deleting Republican votes.
More than a million ineligible registrations were removed from Texas voter rolls in the past three years.
How many more ineligible voters are there on the rolls?
How many voted? Did ineligible voters swing Texas's elections?
If Texas is lost, then the Republic will be lost.
America will become like Europe, or worse.
By worse: Europe is descending further and further into darkness.
Our fate will not be Europe's.
Our fate will be what Europe is transforming into.
Even the government of France refuses to release a report on the extent of infiltration by Islamist organizations into the French government, calling the findings "sensitive".
We know that the RINOs in the Senate will do nothing to ensure election integrity.
We know that they will do nothing to secure our border.
We know that they will allow our institutions to be taken over by violent left-wing radicals, who help to radicalize more people against America.
We know that the RINOs will collaborate with the Democrats, because they themselves have given up.
They know if they make the effort to help us, they may be targeted too.
We know that the Democrats like Senator Elissa Slotkin are openly promising retaliation against everyone involved in the current administration.
Others, like Professor Galloway, are demanding executions of tech leaders like Elon Musk.
Galloway continues to be invited onto CNN. Democrats do not rebuke him.
The RINOs believe that it is better to keep a comfortable office in a country in decline as the enemy destroys everything than to take a risk for their country and personally lose everything.
We know that that is what John Thune and his collaborators are thinking.
They want to save their own skin.
So they do nothing.
They even block reform, hoping that this will allow them to be tolerated by the enemy just a little bit longer.
How can we be expected to win an impossible fight every single time against the forces of darkness, when those who are supposed to help us constantly betray us?
We can do what they do.
They block Trump's nominations, they block his judges.
They threaten Trump with lawfare and impeachment.
They harass and persecute his supporters.
Every patriotic conservative state and federal official could do use the tools of their offices to block these new candidates from being seated.
Lawsuits, refusing to certify, refusing to seat Democrat officials in this election.
There are even ways to unseat U.S. Senators.
In 1912, William Lorimer was unseated by a simple majority.
It was discovered that he bribed legislators to vote for him.
After several investigations and several years, the Senate decided that his seat was illegitimate and voted by simple majority to unseat him.
All the Senate needed was a simple majority to do it.
Tools like this could be used.
Every single tools should be used.
We know that there is election fraud. We know that there are illegitimate voters and illegal voting practices. Investigators like James O'Keefe find it all the time.
Blocking these candidates would buy the Trump administration more time.
This is what the Democrats do.
Patriots should do the same thing.
Talk to your local politician.
This is a structural problem. Being expected to put up miracle vote counts is not a serious solution.
We cannot keep living this way.
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